Shocking Returns in PG&E

From May 2022 to November 2023, PG&E (NYSE: PCG) returned over 40% compared to 12% for the S&P 500 and a loss of 12% for the XLU Utilities ETF. This post will detail our 2022 investment case for PCG and how the process sharpened our value-investing research. Compelling opportunities like PCG exist today. Understanding the […]

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April 2021 – Liquidity Drought

[vc_row css=”.vc_custom_1655389756150{padding-top: 15px !important;padding-right: 60px !important;padding-left: 60px !important;}”][vc_column][vc_column_text]As investors watch the Federal Reserve continue its stunning balance sheet expansion, the financial media often touts how the US central bank is “flooding the markets with liquidity.” Is this really the case? Are stocks making new highs in every month so far in 2021 on heavy buy

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March 2021 – Value Pays Cash

[vc_row css=”.vc_custom_1655390138099{padding-top: 20px !important;padding-right: 60px !important;padding-left: 60px !important;}”][vc_column][vc_column_text]For several years now, growth stocks, led by the largest technology companies like Amazon, Facebook, Microsoft, and Google, have outperformed their slower-growing value counterparts. Fundamentally, the rapid growth in revenue and cash flows at the tech giants justified their outsized moves. Value companies struggled to grow, and their

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February 2021 – The Interest Rate Arsonist

[vc_row css=”.vc_custom_1655390206138{padding-top: 20px !important;padding-right: 60px !important;padding-left: 60px !important;}”][vc_column][vc_column_text]In 2020, 30-year mortgage rates declined from 3.45% to 2.67%. This means for a $500,000 house, 20% down-payment, and 30-year fixed mortgage, the monthly payment declined from $2068 to $1899. To think about this another way, someone borrowing at 2.67% could spend $550,000 and end up with the

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January 2021 – Bitcoin: When Fundamentals Overwhelm Technicals

[vc_row css=”.vc_custom_1655390492724{padding-top: 20px !important;padding-right: 60px !important;padding-left: 60px !important;}”][vc_column][vc_column_text]Cryptocurrency Bitcoin enjoyed a tremendous rally in 2020, appreciating from about $7,000 to nearly $29,000, or roughly 315%. The Internet is littered with well-documented debates on the viability of Bitcoin and the sustainability of the rally itself. What do we believe is the most overlooked factor? The fundamentals

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